RB Leipzig +550 Odds to Win Bundesliga Title Ahead of Matchday 25


Red Bull Leipzig striker Timo Werner

Red Bull Leipzig striker Timo Werner has 21 goals in the Bundesliga this season. By Steffen Prößdorf (Wiki Commons)

  • Heading into this weekend’s Matchday 25, Red Bull Leipzig sits just three points behind leader Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga standings
  • In only its fourth season in the Bundesliga, Leipzig has never finished higher than second and has its odds to win pushed out to an average of +575, while third-placed Dortmund have average odds of +588
  • See the odds, analysis and best bet to challenge Bayern for the 2020 Bundesliga title below

Since their founding in 2009, Red Bull Leipzig have already pulled off some remarkable feats. Getting promoted from the fifth tier of German soccer to the Bundesliga in just eight years was certainly astounding, as was finishing runners-up – to Bayern Munich – in their first season in the top flight and securing Champions League soccer as a result.

But titles aren’t won purely on promise alone. Against powerhouse Bayern, winners of the last seven Bundesliga titles and 29 in total, Leipzig and other contenders will need more than pure romanticism to come out on top, as the latest Bundesliga odds show.

Odds to Win 2019-20 Bundesliga

Team Odds at Bovada
Bayern Munich -400
Red Bull Leipzig +500
Borussia Dortmund +550
Borussia Monchengladbach +10000
Bayer Leverkusen +15000
FC Schalke 04 +75000
Hoffenheim +100000
Sport-Club Freiburg +100000
Wolfsburg +100000
Eintracht Frankfurt +150000

Odds taken on Mar 5. For all teams visit Bovada

A Chink in Bayern’s Armor

However, there is a slight possibility that this season is there for the taking for other contenders – most notably Leipzig and Dortmund – with news that Bayern’s main striker Robert Lewandowski will be out until early next month with a fractured tibia.

The Polish forward has been on fire this season, with 39 goals in all competitions and 25 in 23 Bundesliga games. Though his team came through its first test without him with flying colors – a 6-0 win over Hoffenheim – it barely squeaked by the next time out, relying on a Joshua Kimmich strike to emerge 1-0 winners at Schalke in the quarter-finals of the German Cup.

He is still slated to miss another three league games and the second leg of the Champions League last-16 matchup against Chelsea, before possibly returning for a massive Bundesliga clash in Der Klassiker against Dortmund on April 4.

2020 UEFA Europa League Championship Odds Tracker

Can Leipzig Cash in?

Based on the first game following Lewandowski’s injury, it would appear not as Leipzig could only muster a less-than-optimal 1-1 home draw with Bayer Leverkusen to drop two points and fall three points back of the leaders.

Between now and the point that Lewandowski is due to return from injury, Leipzig has away matches at seventh-place Wolfsburg and 15th-place Mainz sandwiching a home match against ninth-place Freiburg. They will need leading scorer Timo Werner to continue his lights-out form this season, where he has 21 goals in the Bundesliga so far, putting him on the radar of some of Europe’s biggest clubs in the process.

Given Bayern’s three matches are all very winnable contests against teams in the lower half of the Bundesliga table, it would appear that Leipzig would need to take a full nine points from its trio to remain in contention.

But given that Leipzig has dropped three of the last 18 points available to it, the portents for cashing in now do not look good.

Is this Dortmund’s Opportunity?

Chasing a first league title since 2012, this may well be Dortmund’s best opportunity to do so for some time. Not only does it still have that massive six-pointer against Bayern looming on April 4 – Leipzig has already played Munich twice this season – but it has won six of its last seven league matches since a 2-0 loss to Mainz back on January 11.

The first game of that run was a 5-3 win over Augsburg, a match that featured the debut of Erling Haaland, who became just the second Dortmund player to register a hat trick in a team debut. He’s barely blinked since, scoring nine times in those seven games, with Dortmund averaging 3.6 goals per game over that stretch.

The one thorn in Dortmund’s side is the caliber of its next three league matches before Der Klassiker, with it facing away contests at fourth-place Borussia Monchengladbach and seventh-place Wolfsburg played around a home clash against sixth-placed Schalke.

But if Dortmund can continue its red-hot league form, and can somehow close the gap on Bayern to within three points before their match at Dortmund’s Signal Iduna Park next month, it has a real shot at silverware.

Pick: Dortmund +550

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Paul Attfield

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