Ravens vs Browns Week 16 Picks, Odds & Preview

Baltimore Ravens head coach John Harbaugh.

The Baltimore Ravens are receiving 79% of the betting handle in their matchup against the Cleveland Browns this weekend. Photo by Erik Drost (175th Wing).

  • Baltimore has won 10 in a row – the last team to beat them was the Cleveland Browns in Week 4
  • 79% of the betting handle is on the Ravens as well as 89% of the wager count and 62% of the sharp action
  • Get the odds, our pick, and all the info you need to bet the game below

The Baltimore Ravens will visit the Cleveland Browns on Sunday in a game where they’ll be seeking some revenge. The Ravens have won 10 in a row but the Browns were the last team to beat them (back in Week 4). Bettors are expecting Baltimore to get that revenge as 79% of the handle is on the Ravens. Are they the right bet or is there value with the Browns?

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns Handle & Odds

Team Spread Betting Handle at BookMaker.eu
Baltimore Ravens -10.0 (-105) 79.0%
Cleveland Browns +10.0 (-115) 21.0%

Odds taken Dec. 20

No. 1 Seed Will on the Line for Ravens

For the Baltimore Ravens to clinch the No. 1 seed in the AFC, they’ll have to win one of their final two games. They would probably rather get that win this week and get it out of the way, and then have the opportunity to rest players in Week 17.

The Ravens lost at home to the Browns in Week 4 in a game that wasn’t really that close. Cleveland ran it away with it, winning 40-25 while compiling 193 rushing yards. Not only was it the defense’s worst game of the season, it was one of Lamar Jackson’s worst too. It was one of two games this year where he’s thrown multiple interceptions.

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The good news for Baltimore is a lot has changed since then. A midseason trade for Marcus Peters and the return of Jimmy Smith has given the secondary a huge boost. Up front, they’ve allowed just 96.1 rushing yards per game (the fifth-best mark), so they should be in better position to cut off the league’s leading rusher Nick Chubb.

The Ravens offense has taken flight since that loss too as the team scored 30.5 points per game in their first seven contests but is scoring nearly a touchdown more per game, averaging 36.9 points per outing over their last seven. The Browns are going to be facing a very different Ravens squad this time around.

Browns Limping to Finish Line

It’s been an ugly year in Cleveland as the Browns didn’t come anywhere close to meeting their expectations. At one point in the offseason, they were the favorite to win the AFC North Division and were deemed to be a Super Bowl contender. Since the games have started, the Browns have been nowhere near that level.

While the Browns did have a challenging schedule, a lot of self-inflicted wounds have done them in. Whether it’s shaky coaching and game-planning, to being among the league-leaders in giveaways with 24, to accumulating the third-most penalty yards, they’ve hurt themselves.

At a minimum, Browns fans figured the team would register a winning season – something the franchise hasn’t done since 2007 – but even that became out of reach with a disheartening loss at Arizona last week. Not only did the Browns lose, they were embarrassed 38-24 by a Cardinals team that had just three wins.

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A big concern is the run defense, which allowed the Cardinals to compile 226 rushing yards and four touchdowns, averaging 6.5 yards per rush. The Ravens’ offense leads the league in this category, averaging 202.1 rushing yards per game, so this figures to be a really bad matchup for Cleveland.

 

The Browns give up 4.9 yards per carry – the fourth-worst mark in the NFL. The first time these teams met, the Browns entered giving up just 102.0 rushing yards per game and just 4.06 yards per tote. They held the Ravens to 173 rushing yards in that game, which is under their season-average. It looks like the Browns’ run defense has gone downhill since, though.

What’s the Best Bet?

Although revenge is a subplot here, the fact of the matter remains that the Ravens are the significantly better team. In the first meeting, the Ravens fell behind early and allowed the Browns to control the game. This time around, with the Browns’ run defense being extra leaky, I would expect the Ravens to get in front and force the Browns to play from behind.

Cleveland has lost two of three and is generally in bad spirits. Reports surfaced after last week’s game that several Browns players want off the team. Although it’s being disputed, this isn’t the first time we’ve heard these allegations.

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With the Ravens on a roll and the first overall seed on the line, look for them to get their revenge and roll the Browns here.

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David Golokhov

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