No One’s Betting Georgia in SEC Title Game; LSU Getting 89% of Handle, 72% of Bets, and 86% of Sharp Money


Joe Burrow running to the sidelines
A hefty 89% of the money in the SEC Championship Game is on the LSU Tigers. Are they the right side to bet? Photo by Tommy Anthony Baker (Flickr) [CC License].
  • The LSU Tigers lead the nation in offense; Georgia hasn’t faced an offense that’s ranked better than No. 45.
  • Georgia has some roster concerns with D’Andre Swift (banged up but expected to play), Lawrence Cager (out) and George Pickens (possible first half suspension).
  • Get the odds, our pick, and all the info you need to bet the game below

The No. 4 Georgia Bulldogs will face the No. 2 LSU Tigers in the SEC Championship on Saturday. While the two teams are separated by just two spots in the rankings, bettors seem to think the gap is much wider. A staggering 89% of the bets on this game at are on LSU. Should you side with the betting percentages for the Georgia vs LSU odds?

Georgia vs LSU Handle & Odds

TeamSpreadBetting Handle at
Georgia Bulldogs+7.0 (-113)11.0%
LSU Tigers-7.0 (-107)89.0%

Odds taken Dec. 6

Bulldogs are Not at 100%

One of the main reasons why the Bulldogs are being faded here is they’re not at full strength coming into this game. Running back D’Andre Swift, who has run for 1,203 yards and seven touchdowns, hurt his shoulder last week. While he’s expected to play through the soreness, he is likely to be hampered in some way.

Beyond Swift, the receiving corps has taken a hit. Senior wideout Lawrence Cager, who is second on the team with 476 receiving yards, is out after undergoing ankle surgery. As for the team’s leading receiver, George Pickens, he’s suspended for the first half of the SEC Championship Game after getting into a fight with Georgia Tech players last week.

Add it all up and the Bulldogs offense is likely to take a hit. Remember, this isn’t exactly a unit that’s lit it up this year, so this will hurt.

Bulldogs Won a Lot Of Close Games, LSU Winning by Blowout

Another key reason for so much money coming in on LSU is bettors believe they’re the better team. Georgia is 11-1 on the year there’s no question that they’re one of the top teams in the country. However, quarterback Jake Fromm and Swift are nowhere near Heisman-level as they were projected to be.

In general, the Bulldogs offense has been barely scraping by. They thumped a lousy Georgia Tech team 52-7 last week but prior to that, scored just 19 against Texas A&M, 21 against Auburn, 27 against Missouri, 24 against Florida, 21 against Kentucky and 17 against South Carolina.

As for LSU, they’ve been blowing teams off the map. They hung 50 on Texas A&M last week, 46 on Alabama and 42 on Florida. When you compare those performances against common opponents, it gives you an idea as to why 86% of the sharp money is on LSU in this game along with 72% of the bet count.

Can Georgia Slow the Tempo?

The Tigers come into this game averaging 48.7 points per game with Heisman favorite Joe Burrow leading the way. He’s working with a pair of 1000-yard receivers in an offense that’s eclipsed the 60-point mark twice and 50-point mark four other times.

On the flipside, Georgia is allowing just 10.4 points per game and have posted three shutouts this year, which is the first time since 1991 they’ve done that. They haven’t allowed more than 17 points in any game this season.

But the general feeling is that Georgia will have a tough time stopping this offense. Georgia’s defense has played great but they haven’t faced many good offenses. The best unit they faced was Notre Dame’s, which ranked 42nd this season and the Fighting Irish had some good opportunities in that game.

Even if the Bulldogs slow them down, they still probably don’t have the firepower to win a game that goes into the mid-20’s – especially when a few of their key skill guys are hurt or out. That’s what is leading to the LSU love. LSU should close at -7 at but I wouldn’t be surprised if it goes even higher.

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David Golokhov

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