KBO Picks & Odds (September 23): Unders Rule the Day

LG's Tyler Wilson is 1-0, with a 4.09 ERA vs SK this season. Photo by @sung_minkim (Twitter).

• LG is 12-2 versus SK this season, and has held them to three runs or less in five of their last seven meetings
• NC’s Drew Rucinski is 1-0, with a 1.38 ERA in two starts vs Samsung in 2020
• Find odds and best bets for the KBO’s five-game slate on September 23rd in the article below

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Of all the matchups we’ve seen in the KBO this season, none has been more lopsided than LG versus SK. The Twins have handed the Wyverns 12 losses in 14 games this season, and are fresh off yet another victory over their punching bag on Tuesday.

LG scored seven unanswered runs in a 7-2 win, and have now held SK to three runs or less in five of their last seven meetings.

 KBO Odds: Wednesday, September 23rd

Odds as of Sept. 22nd at FanDuel.

The two teams will square off again Wednesday, at 5:30 am EST, with the Twins looking to complete the two-game sweep.

Wilson Wows vs Lotte

LG will give the ball to right-hander Tyler Wilson, who’s fresh off a gem versus the Lotte Giants. The 30-year-old allowed just six baserunners over 7 scoreless innings, earning his 9th win along the way.  Wilson possesses excellent command and isn’t afraid to pitch to contact. He hasn’t issued a walk in any of his last three starts, and has allowed a home run in just six of his 22 outings.

Tyler Wilson took a no-decision in a late-inning loss for the LG Twins on Tuesday.

Final line: 6.0 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 6 K, 3 BBpic.twitter.com/u6mX3xC156

— Virginia Baseball (@UVABaseball) July 22, 2020

SK meanwhile, will counter with Seung Won Moon, looking to snap its five-game losing streak. Moon has been one of the few bright spots for the Wyverns lately, allowing two runs or less in three of his past four starts. Last time out against first place NC, he held the Dinos scoreless over 5 innings. He’s won each of his last three decisions and leads all SK starters in ERA and WHIP.

Pick: Under 8.5 (-116)

Rucinski Rock Solid Again

Speaking of NC, they’ll hand the ball to ace Drew Rucinski on Wednesday against Samsung. Rucinski is fresh off 7 scoreless innings versus the Wyverns, striking out 9 along the way.

Great outing by Drew Rucinski today, throwing 7 scoreless IP against SK. Nine strikeouts and had everything working well, even throwing a few changeups for groundouts/called strikes #KBO #KBOLeague pic.twitter.com/grLRBpTmqs

— Ben Howell (@benhowell71) September 17, 2020

The 31-year-old has allowed just a single run over his last 13 innings, and has allowed two earned runs or less in 16 of 23 starts, including both against the Lions this season. He’s punched out 13 Samsung batters in 13 innings, surrendering just 9 hits in the process. I’d love to bet the Dinos in this game, but their runline is an absurd -4.5.

With that being the case, let’s look at Under -9.5 instead. In Rucinski’s last 14 outings, only four times has the opposition produced more than two runs against him. Six of NC’s past seven games has stayed under the total, including Tuesday’s 3-2 win over the Lions.

Samsung will counter with Seung Min Lee, who’s been a bit shaky this season but won’t be stretched out longer than 4 or 5 innings. The Lions bullpen allowed just two hits in Tuesday’s game and if they can keep things respectable against the Dino bats, Rucinski will take care of the rest.

Pick: Under 9.5 (+100)

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