Formula 1 2020 Spanish Grand Prix Odds & Picks

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Racing Point's Sergio Perez

After missing the past two Formula 1 races while battling COVID-19, Racing Point's Sergio Perez will be back on the track at this weekend's Spanish Grand Prix.
Photo by @pitpassdotcom (Twitter)

  • Max Verstappen will be looking to record consecutive wins for the first time in his career at Sunday morning’s Spanish Grand Prix
  • Verstappen is coming off a victory at last weekend’s 70th Anniversary Grand Prix but lags behind the Mercedes duo of Lewis Hamilton and Valtteri Bottas in the Formula 1 odds
  • We’ve got you covered with all the odds and storylines ahead of Sunday morning’s running of the Spanish Grand Prix at Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya

Max Verstappen will be looking to build on his impressive victory at last weekend’s 70th Anniversary Grand Prix when he hits the track on Sunday at the 2020 Spanish Grand Prix as an attractive +450 wager in the Formula 1 odds.

Odds to Win 2020 Spanish Grand Prix

DriverOdds to WinOdds to Finish Top ThreeOdds to Finish Top SixOdds to Finish Top 10
Lewis Hamilton-190-800-1400-1400
Valtteri Bottas+275-500-1000-1200
Max Verstappen+450-250-800-800
Sergio Perez+3300+350-200-400
Charles Leclerc+4000+350-200-400
Alex Albon+5000+500-175-400
Carlos Sainz Jr.+5000+800-150-250
Lance Stroll+5000+500-175-275
Lando Norris+5000+800+125-250
Sebastian Vettel+10000+1100+150-120
Daniel Ricciardo+25000+3300+275-275
Esteban Ocon+50000+10000+450-150
Pierre Gasly+100000+25000+800-150
Danil Kvyat+200000+50000+2500+225
Antonio Giovinazzi+250000+100000+20000+750
George Russell+250000+100000+15000+250
Kimi Raikonen+250000+100000+20000+750
Kevin Magnussen+300000+100000+20000+550
Romain Grosjean+6600+100000+20000+550
Nicholas Latifi+300000+200000+50000+1100

Odds taken August 13, 2020

Verstappen Capitalizing on Mercedes Woes

Verstappen has shown steady improvement since failing to finish in the first race of the F1 season in Austria. The 22-year-old has since followed up with four straight podium finishes, capped by last weekend’s dominant performance at Silverstone. Now returning to the scene of his first career F1 victory four years ago, Verstappen faces a massive challenge to end the dominance of rival Lewis Hamilton, who has taken home the checkered flag in Barcelona in each of the past three years.

While Verstappen has been steady on the track since being thwarted by an electronic issue at the Austria Grand Prix, he has also benefited from the bad luck that has befallen Hamilton and his Mercedes teammate Valtteri Bottas in the past two races.

Hamilton managed to outpace Verstappen for the win two weeks ago at the British Grand Prix despite suffering a catastrophic tire failure on the last lap of the race. Bottas also suffered tire failure in that race, dropping him from second to 11th place.

Vaunted Silver Arrows Hobbled by Tire Troubles

Tires were once again an issue Mercedes at the second race at Silverstone in as many weeks, with high heat on race day, and the challenging track design contributing to severe blistering on the tires. With Red Bull anticipating Mercedes’ tire issues, Verstappen was ready, showing off his impressive skill to overtake the Mercedes duo early on and power to victory by a margin of victory of over 11 seconds over Hamilton.

While Hamilton showed his ugly side by suggesting that Red Bull had broken the rules by underinflating Verstappen’s tires, he should be much more concerned about whether tire issues will persist in Barcelona, where the temperature is expected to reach 30 Celsius or higher over the weekend.

The winner of three of five races so far this weekend, Hamilton continues to lead the way as a -190 favorite to claim a fourth straight Spanish Grand Prix win, followed by Bottas at +275, but with the tire issue still looming, neither Mercedes driver offers much value in the race day odds heading into the weekend.

Spanish Grand Prix Recent Winners

YearDriverMargin of VictoryPole PositionFastest Lap
2019Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes4.074 secValtteri Bottas – MercedesLewis Hamilton – Mercedes
2018Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes20.593 secLewis Hamilton – MercedesDaniel Ricciardo – Red Bull Racing
2017Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes3.490 secLewis Hamilton – MercedesLewis Hamilton – Mercedes
2016Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing0.616 secLewis Hamilton – MercedesDaniil Kvyat – Toro Rosso
2015Nico Rosberg – Mercedes17.551 secNico Rosberg – MercedesLewis Hamilton – Mercedes
2014Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes0.636 secLewis Hamilton – MercedesSebastian Vettel – Red Bull Racing

Bottas on the Pole?

However, qualifying is a completely different matter. Mercedes drivers have claimed the pole position in each of the past seven editions of this race. That trend has helped lift Hamilton to a -182 favorite to start on the pole.

However, it is Bottas who provides the most value as a +190 wager. In addition to capturing the pole at this race a year ago, Bottas has been a steady presence in qualifying this season, starting from the front row in four of five races, and twice on the pole.

Pink Mercedes a Persistent Threat

Further down the Spanish Grand Prix odds, Racing Point’s Sergio Perez returns to action leading the middle of the pack as a +3300 after contracting COVID-19 and missing both races at Silverstone. Perez and his Pink Mercedes teammate Lance Stroll have emerged persistent threats this season, with the duo finishing among the top seven in six of their combined eight outings.

While neither Racing Point driver has enjoyed much success in past appearances in Barcelona, the duo are a solid -165 bet to both finish in the top ten in Sunday morning’s race.

2020 NASCAR Cup Series Odds Tracker

Awaiting Albon’s Breakthrough

Verstappen’s Red Bull teammate Alex Albon also remains poised for a long-awaited breakthrough. The 24-year-old overcame a shaky start from the No. 9 spot on the grid to make a spectacular climb into fifth place and has also flirted with the fastest lap in each of his two recent outings at Silverstone.

Albon continues to offer exceptional value in the +500 odds of him claiming his first-ever podium, and cannot be overlooked as a lengthy +1600 bet to record the fastest lap.

Picks: Max Verstappen to win (+450); Valtteri Bottas – Pole Position (+190); Alex Albon – Fastest Lap (+1600); Racing Point – Both team drivers finish top ten (-165); Safety car in the race? Yes (-125)

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Daniel Coyle

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