Early 2020 NFL Season Player Props


Josh Allen rolling out to pass

Will Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen go over or under 22.5 touchdown passes during the 2020-21 NFL regular season? This wager is among numerous QB and wide receiver player props now available. Photo by Erik Drost (Wikimedia).

  • Check a wide variety of quarterback and wide receiver player props for the 2020-21 NFL regular season
  • How many TD catches will DeAndre Hopkins make? Will Josh Allen go over or under 22.5 TD passes? What will the passing yardage total be for Philip Rivers?
  • Analysis, predictions and odds on these and other props are available in the story below

Player props on the 2020-21 NFL regular season are out, because while the coronavirus may have put a halt to sports, it hasn’t put a dent into offseason speculation.

As always, the NFL is generating plenty of scenarios to be debated thanks to offseason player movement caused by trades and free agency.

All quarterback and wide receiver over/under props  for the 2020-21 NFL regular season are listed below.

NFL 2020-21 Regular Season QB and WR Player Props

Quarterback Props Line Over Odds Under Odds at Bovada
Buffalo Bills Josh Allen TD Passes 22.5 -115 -115
Buffalo Bills Josh Allen Passing Yardage 3199.5 -115 -115
Carolina Panthers Teddy Bridgewater TD Passes 23.5 -115 -115
Houston Texans Deshaun Watson TD Passes 26.5 -115 -115
Houston Texans Deshaun Watson Passing Yardage 4099.5 -115 -115
Indianapolis Colts Philip Rivers TD Passes 26.5 -115 -115
Indianapolis Colts Philip Rivers Passing Yardage 4399.5 -105 -125
Jacksonville Jaguars Gardner Minshew TD Passes 24.5 -105 -125
Kansas City Chiefs Patrick Mahomes TD Passes 36.5 -120 -110
Kansas City Chiefs Patrick Mahomes Passing Yardage 4699.5 -115 -115
New Orleans Saints Drew Brees TD Passes 32.5 -110 -120
New Orleans Saints Drew Brees Passing Yardage 4249.5 -105 -125
New York Giants Daniel Jones TD Passes 28.5 -110 -120
New York Giants Daniel Jones Passing Yardage 3899.5 -115 -115
New York Jets Sam Darnold TD Passes 23.5 -125 -105
New York Jets Sam Darnold Passing Yardage 3599.5 -125 -105
Philadelphia Eagles Carson Wentz TD Passes 27.5 -115 -115
Philadelphia Eagles Carson Wentz Passing Yardage 3999.5 -115 -115
San Francisco 49ers Jimmy Garoppolo TD Passes 27.5 -115 -115
San Francisco 49ers Jimmy Garopplolo Passing Yardage 3999.5 -115 -115
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tom Brady TD Passes 31.5 -105 -125
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tom Brady Passing Yardage 3999.5 -105 -125
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tom Brady Interceptions 10.5 -110 -120
Wide Receiver Props Line Over Odds Under Odds
Arizona Cardinals DeAndre Hopkins TD Receptions 9.5 -115 -115
Arizona Cardinals DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards 1249.5 -115 -115
Buffalo Bills Stefon Diggs TD Receptions 6.5 -115 -115
Buffalo Bills Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards 1049.5 -115 -115
Carolina Panthers DJ Moore TD Receiving Yards 1199.5 -115 -115
Chicago Bears Allen Robinson TD Receptions 7.5 -115 -115
Chicago Bears Allen Robinson Receiving Yards 1149.5 -115 -115
Minnesota Vikings Adam Thielen TD Receptions 8.5 -115 -115
Minnesota Vikings Adam Thielen Receiving Yards 1199.5 -115 -115
New England Patriots Julian Edelman Receiving Yards 924.5 -115 -115
Philadelphia Eagles Zach Ertz TD Receptions 7.5 -115 -115
Philadelphia Eagles Zach Ertz Receiving Yards 949.5 -115 -115
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Chris Godwin TD Receptions 9.5 -115 -115
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Chris Godwin Receiving Yards 1249.5 -115 -115
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Mike Evans TD Receptions 9.5 -115 -115
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Mike Evans Receiving Yards 1249.5 -115 -115

Odds taken Mar. 29. 

How will DeAndre Hopkins fare in new surroundings with the Arizona Cardinals? Will the presence of Stefon Diggs in Buffalo create blossoming new numbers for Bills quarterback Josh Allen? What sort of digits will Tom Brady put up during his first year at the helm of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Now’s the time to make those calls and to make them pay off in winning wagers.

Rivers Flowing In Indy

After 16 seasons with the Chargers, the Indianapolis Colts signed Philip Rivers as a free agent. The hope is that he can put a charge back into Indy’s passing attack. In 2019, the Colts were 30th in the NFL in passing yardage (3,108 yards) and tied for 19th in touchdown passes (22).

Rivers, 38, has been established with a passing yardage total of 4,399.5 yards. Last season, in what was clearly an off-year for the veteran quarterback (23 TDs, 20 interceptions), he still was fourth in the NFL in passing yardage (4,615 yards).

Rivers has gone over 4,399.5 yards in four of the past six seasons, as well as in six of the previous 10 seasons. In 2018, with Andrew Luck under center, the Colts passed for 4,461 yards, good for sixth overall in the NFL.

The receiving talent is certainly in place for Rivers to access. Rivers passed for a career-high 4,792 yards in 2015 with Colts head coach Frank Reich as his offensive coordinator in San Diego.

Pick: Philip Rivers over 4,399.5 in passing yardage (-105).

Brady’s Brave New World

As Brady arrives in Tampa Bay, the soon-to-be 43-year-old QB is coming off for him what is viewed to be a downer of a campaign. Last season with the New England Patriots, Brady passed for 24 touchdowns and 4.057 yards. He was intercepted eight times.

The 40s aren’t being kind to Brady’s stats. Both his TD passes and passing-yardage totals have decreased each season since he celebrated his 40th birthday.

His TDs dropped from 32 to 29 to 24. Yardage-wise, Brady has dipped from 4,577 to 4,355 to 4,057. After throwing just two interceptions in 2016, he’s averaged nine picks over the past three seasons.

Father Time ultimately gets every athlete. It might be time for everyone to dial back the expectations placed on Brady.

Pick: Tom Brady under 31.5 TD passes (-125).

You Must Be Josh-ing

From his rookie to sophomore seasons, Bills QB Josh Allen improved from 10 to 20 touchdowns. That’s a TD percentage increase of 1.2% from 3.1% to 4.3%.

Allen is adding a steady 6-9 TD reception guy to his options when standing in the pocket in Minnesota trade acquisition Stefon Diggs. He’s averaged 7.66 TD catches per season over the past three seasons with the Vikings.

Suppose Diggs gets the same six TD receptions he had a year ago. Add that to the six each contributed by John Brown and Cole Beasley in 2019.

Suddenly, Allen needs just five more TD catches from rest of his skill players to go over the established total of 22.5.

Pick: Josh Allen over 22.5 TD passes (-115).

Hopkins Looks For Arizona Rebound

The 2019 NFL season wasn’t the best for DeAndre Hopkins. He caught just seven touchdowns passes for the Houston Texans after going off for double digits in each of the previous two campaigns.

Hopkins made 11 TD receptions in 2018. He caught an NFL-leading 13 scoring aerials in 2017.

Traded to the Arizona Cardinals, will Hopkins return to the form that made him one of the main threats to find the end zone among NFL receivers?

That could prove a challenge. He won’t be surrounded by nearly as deep a receiving corps as he was in Houston. Larry Fitzgerald is still a solid receiver but at 36, isn’t the dangerous threat he was in his prime.

Cardinals QB Kyler Murray threw for just 12 TDs during his rookie season. Even if he displays a similar sophomore uptick to the one Allen pulled off last season in Buffalo, it’s still hard to imagine Hopkins finding the end zone 10 times.

Pick: DeAndre Hopkins under 9.5 TD receptions (-115).

Bridgewater’s Small Sample Size

Playing five games for the New Orleans Saints last season, Teddy Bridgewater passed for nine TDs. Over a 16-game season, that averages out to 28.8 TD passes.

Going by those digits, you’d think oddsmakers were way underestimating Bridgewater by giving him a total of 23.5 TD passes this season with his new team, the Carolina Panthers. In fact, they may be overestimating Bridgewater.

The Panthers offense isn’t the Saints offense. Carolina passed for just 17 TDs in 2019.

In two seasons as the starter with the Vikings, Bridegwater never threw for more than 14 TDs in a season. He’s thrown for 38 TDs in 44 NFL games.

That works out to 0.86 TD passes per game, or 13.81 TD tosses over the course of a 16-game season.

Pick: Teddy Bridgewater under 23.5 TD passes (-115).

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