Baylor’s March Madness Title Odds Now +1400 Across the Board; Can Scott Drew Get to His First Final Four?

Baylor Bears

Scott Drew's Baylor Bears are now a top-6 contender in the 2020 March Madness odds after back-to-back road wins over top-25 opposition. Photo by Max Goldberg (Wiki Commons).

  • No. 2 Baylor is now a top-six contender in the 2020 March Madness title odds
  • The Bears are fresh off back-to-back road victories over No. 6 Kansas and No. 23 Texas Tech
  • Is there still value betting Baylor to win the National Championship at +1400?

The Baylor Bears are taking the college basketball world by storm. For the eighth straight week they climbed in the AP rankings and now sit second in the poll, behind only Gonzaga.

As they ascend towards the top spot, their odds to win the National Championship continue to shrink.

2020 NCAA Men’s Tournament Championship Odds

Team Odds at BetOnline
Duke Blue Devils +900
Gonzaga Bulldogs +1000
Kansas Jayhawks +1000
Louisville Cardinals +1000
Michigan State Spartans +1200
Baylor Bears +1400
Kentucky Wildcats +1400
Maryland Terrapins +1400
Ohio State Buckeyes +1400
Oregon Ducks +1600
Arizona Wildcats +2000

Odds taken on Jan. 13th

The Bears were a 50-1 long shot before the season started, but are now tied for the sixth shortest 2020 March Madness odds at +1400. As short as their new price is, there’s an argument to be made they still represent a lot of value. They’ve won 12 straight overall and are fresh off a road win versus a Kansas team whose title odds are 40% shorter.

The Best Resume in College Basketball

Baylor’s upset win in Lawrence was their first road victory in 22 attempts versus a top five team. Four days earlier they knocked off No. 23 Texas Tech in Lubbock, snapping the Red Raiders’ 15-game home winning streak.

They’re 5-0 against Top 25 programs, while No. 1 Gonzaga has just won victory over a team currently ranked inside the Top 25.

The Bears aren’t just beating good teams, they’re completely shutting them down. In their five biggest wins of the season, they’ve held their opponents to an average of 16 points below their season outputs. They rank ninth in scoring defense, fifth in defensive efficiency and only one team has exceeded 65 points against them.

Their lone loss came against Washington in Alaska, in a game they led until the the final minute. They’re first in the NET rankings and sit five spots higher than the Bulldogs in KenPom’s overall efficiency metrics.

Final Four Bound?

Baylor has never made the Final Four under head coach Scott Drew, but they’ve come close. They reached the Elite Eight in 2010 and 2012, and were knocked off in the Sweet Sixteen in 2014 and 2017. They were a No. 3 seed four times last decade and this year’s squad is shaping up to be Drew’s best shot yet at a Final Four breakthrough.

If the Bears stellar play continues, they could earn the program’s first No. 1 seed in school history. Their defense gets most of the credit, and rightfully so, but their offense is no slouch.

They feature an elite guard duo in Jared Butler and MaCio Teague, and Davion Mitchell has emerged as a legitimate secondary scoring threat. They made 42% of their threes versus the Jayhawks, and if they can get even 85% of that production on a regular basis they’ll be extremely difficult to beat.

Super Bowl 54 Odds Tracker

The Price is Still Right

Don’t get me wrong, I’d much rather be holding a 50-1 ticket on Baylor to win it all, but their +1400 odds still present enough value to warrant a wager. The Bears have looked like the best team in college basketball for most of the first half of the season, so a chance to buy them at longer odds than five other programs seems like a smart bet.

They’ve proven they can win in hostile environments and with a relatively easy schedule in front of them for the next four weeks, their price is likely to shrink even further.

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Chris Amberley

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