Antonio Brown 2019 Season Props After Signing With Patriots

  • Antonio Brown debuts for the Patriots Week 2 against the Dolphins
  • Can AB continue dominant receiving run with Patriots?
  • Identifying the best bet for all of Antonio Brown's props at BetOnline

It's fair to say that this last Saturday was, by far, the most diva-est wide receiver situation we've ever seen.

By the end of it all, Antonio Brown went from an ideal situation in Pittsburgh, to a questionable one in Oakland, and through various front and back channel happenings (social media is a weapon), found himself in the best possible situation in New England.

Does his play match the unending hype? We're about to find out. For now, let's delve into every Antonio Brown prop you can handle as he debuts against the hapless Dolphins.

Antonio Brown Receiving Yards in Week 2

Line Odds at
BetOnline
Over 75.5 yards -115
Under 75.5 yards -115

*Odds from 09/09/19

Analysis: Last year, Brown went under that threshold (eight) more than he went over (seven), but this is a whole different situation he's going to be in. I can't believe that Bill Belichick would bring in such a mercurial talent to have him be just part of the system. Think 2007 and when they brought in another malcontent in Randy Moss.

He went berserk in his first game, against the Dolphins, racking up two TDs and 183 receiving yards. Moss also started his Patriot tenure with four straight 100-yard+ receiving games, and broke 75.5 receiving yards 10 times. While different in stature and skill sets, Brown is one of the few talents that can be mentioned in the Moss realm. Plus, he's playing the Dolphins, who, you may have heard, had trouble containing their Week 1 opponent.

The Pick: Over 75.5 yards (-115)

Antonio Brown Receptions in Week 2

Line Odds at BetOnline
Over 5.5 receptions +110
Under 5.5 receptions -130

Analysis: The guy is a reception machine, and last season, he went over this total nine times in 15 games. Of the other six games, he was right at five. Only one game did he fail to get five receptions.

While the Patriots and Tom Brady only force feed the ball to the open receiver, I feel like Brown is the crispest route runner TB12 will have worked with in years. Brady had 24 completions in Week 1, and only old-reliable Julian Edelman cracked six receptions. I'm banking on AB here.

The Pick: Over 5.5 receptions (+110)

Antonio Brown to Score a TD in Week 2

Will Antonio Brown Score a TD in Week 2 Odds at BetOnline
Yes -130
No +100

Analysis: You have to go back to the end of the 2017 season to find the last time Brown has been kept out of the endzone in back-to-back games.

While his receiving numbers took a dip from their usual gaudy perch (his 1,297 yards is just the second time in the last six years he's failed to crack 1,400),  he set a career-high with 15 TD catches.

We know he does damage everywhere on the field, but now that Gronk is retired, perhaps 84 is just what the New England offense needs in the red zone?

The Pick: Yes (-130)

Antonio Brown 2019 Receiving Yards

Line Odds at BetOnline
Over 1,100 yards -115
Under 1,100 yards -115

Analysis: In many ways, this line seems so low – or at least what it should have been while he was briefly a member of the Raiders. In the last six seasons, his lowest receiving total has been 1,284 yards. And he's only played a full 16-game slate in two of those years. Moving from Ben Roethlisberger to most situations would spell disaster, but moving to Tom Brady as your QB should not be an issue.

Last year was such a band-aid season for Brady's receiving corps that the leading receiver was Edelman (who played only 12 games due to suspension) at 850 yards. Minus that season, since 2013, the Patriots have had an 1100+ yard receiver in their lineup four times, and two other times they came close: Edelman (1,056 in 2013) and Brandin Cooks  and Gronk in 2017 (1,084, and 1,082, respectively).

The Pick: Over 1,100 yards (-115)

Antonio Brown 2019 Receptions

Line Odds at BetOnline
Over 85.5 receptions -105
Under 85.5 receptions -125

Analysis: If we're going with his current body of work, Brown's lowest reception total since 2013 is 101. That is not a typo. There might be a question of volume, and that's fair: in those same six seasons, New England receivers have gone over 150 targets just twice.

Brown's lowest target output during that same stretch was 2016, when he was targeted 154 times, with a high of 193 in 2015. Brown hasn't been afraid to let his QB know when he's missed him too. Still, if you're assuming he's in New England to spin, this total could be beat by Week 14.

The Pick: Over 85.5 receptions (-105)

Antonio Brown 2019 Touchdowns

Line Odds at BetOnline
Over 9.5 touchdowns -115
Under 9.5 touchdowns -115

Analysis: He's surpassed that total in four of the past five years, and the year he didn't he was at nine. After Randy Moss, who had three straight 10+ TD seasons in New England, Gronkowski became the TD maker, breaking into double digits five times in his nine-year career, though most of it was early on. In fact, no Patriot has had more than 9.5 TDs since Gronk in 2015. While Brown should come close, but TD catches are such a fickle stat.

The Pick: Under 9.5 touchdowns (-115)

How Long Will Antonio Brown be on the Patriots?

Will Antonio Brown be on Patriots' Roster on Week 17 Odds at BetOnline
Yes -400
No +250

Analysis: This franchise is a perennial Super Bowl or bust group, and, if Brown keeps his head on straight (a massive if, considering this offseason) then he'll be essential to what will be one of the most talented offensive cores New England has ever fielded.

There are so many ways he can affect a game, I see the Patriots maxing out his talent. He'll be on the roster in Week 17 but likely won't be playing, as all his incentives should be reached, and the Pats will have a division title already locked, as well as a top-2 seed in the AFC.

The Pick: Yes (-400)

Will Antonio Brown be on the Patriots Next Season?

Will Antonio Brown be a Patriots Week 1 in 2020? Odds at BetOnline
Yes -150
No +110

Analysis: He's on a one year deal, and he could unlock the safe to another monster payday if he does his usual thing, but, unlike past years, tops it off with a Super Bowl ring. Belichick is fond of letting stars walk away, and Brown is probably trying to work his way into more guaranteed money.

He'll be 32 next year, and I doubt Belichick would have doled out top dollar for Jerry Rice at that age. There's always a chance that Brown is the piece that keeps Brady potent to age 45, but they're too crafty hitch their wagon on this wideout.

The Pick: No (+110)

Antonio Brown Super Bowl MVP Odds

Will Antonio Brown win Super Bowl MVP? Odds at BetOnline
Yes +2000
No -5000

Analysis: Over Roger Goodell's dead body. Even if Brown had a monster day, there's no taking away the Super Bowl MVP from Tom Brady. It's just not a popular pick, and we're still wondering how Edelman snagged it last year.

The Pick: No (-5000)

The post Antonio Brown 2019 Season Props After Signing With Patriots appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Original source: https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/nfl/antonio-brown-2019-season-props-after-signing-with-patriots/

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