2019 UEFA Champions League Final Props: Liverpool vs Tottenham

  • Liverpool and Tottenham play out the Champions League final on Saturday, June 1, 2019
  • Will Virgil van Dijk, Andy Robertson and Toby Alderweirdeld control the passing game? 
  • Which players offer the best value to score on Saturday?

Liverpool have reached their second Champions League final in a row and will face EPL rivals Tottenham, when the two meet at the Wanda Metropolitano Stadium in Madrid on Saturday, June 1, 2019 at 3:00 pm EST.

We dig into the prop cards to find five best bets for the Champions League final.

Prop #1: Sadio Mané to Have at Least 2 Shots & 1 Shot on Target

Player Props Odds at
BetOnline
Mane at least 2 shot attempts -286
Mane at least 1 shot on target -222
Parlay -149

*All odds taken on 05/29/19. For more options please follow the link in the table. 

Sadio Mané has been an integral part to Liverpool's attack all season and won a share of the Premier League's Golden Boot Award. He, along with teammate Mohamed Salah and Arsenal's Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang all finished the season with 22 goals.

Salah led the Reds with 137 shots this year in 38 EPL games, while Mané was second on the team with 87 in 36. Mané was also second in shots on target with 42.

Running the numbers that works out to 2.42 shots per game and 1.17 on target per game for the Senegalese forward.

Pick 1: Sadio Mané to have at least 2 shots & 1 shot on target

Prop #2: Toby Alderweireld & Virgil van Dijk to Combine for at Least 113 Passes

Player Props Odds at BetOnline
Toby Alderweireld & Virgil van Dijk to combine for at least 105 passes -192
Toby Alderweireld & Virgil van Dijk to combine for at least 110 passes -133
Toby Alderweireld & Virgil van Dijk to combine for at least 115 passes -115
Toby Alderweireld & Virgil van Dijk to combine for at least 120 passes +120
Toby Alderweireld & Virgil van Dijk to combine for at least 125 passes +141

Throughout the Champions League tournament, Liverpool's Virgil van Dijk and Tottenham's Toby Alderweireld ranked 10th and 12th in overall passes attempted respectively. Similarly, they were also 10th and 13th in passes completed.

At 688 passes for van Dijk and 651 for Alderweireld, they are the two highest-ranked players left standing in the tournament. Of the players remaining on either side, Andy Robertson is next in line for Liverpool with 614, while Christian Eriksen has 591 for Tottenham.

Over the course of the season, van Dijk, in 38 EPL matches attempted 3,037 passes, good for an average of 79.92 passes per game.

For Alderweireld, he attempted 2,358 passes this season over 34 matches, which averages out to 69.35 per game.

In the biggest European final match of the year, it seems likely the teams will play things close to the vest and put a premium on possession and quality opportunities.

2019 UEFA Champions League Odds Tracker

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I'll look for each of these defenders to make plenty of passes come Saturday and going over 110 should be an easy target.

In the prop builder, 113 passes actually pays the same as 115 so I'll bet these two to make at least 113+ passes.

Pick 2: Toby Alderweireld & Virgil van Dijk to combine for at least 113 passes

Prop #3: Andy Robertson to Have at Least 50+ Passes and Mohamed Salah to Have at Least 1 Shot on Target

Player Prop Odds at BetOnline
Andy Robertson to have at least 50+ passes -118
Mohamed Salah to have at least 1+ shots on target -400
Parlay  +116

Sticking with some passing stats in this bet. Liverpool's Robertson made 2,396 passes this season in 36 Premier League appearances. That averages out to 66.6 on the year.

During the Champions League, he made 614 passes, good for 16th overall and was second on the team behind van Dijk. In 11 tournament phase games, that averages to 52.5 per game.

There's not much needed to say about Salah who led Liverpool in goals, shots and shots on target. He also won a share of the EPL's Golden Boot.

Salah has 14 shots on target on in 11 tournament phase games in Champions League play.

Pick 3: Andy Robertson to have at least 50+ passes and Mohamed Salah to have at least 1+ shot on target

Prop #4: Son-Heung Min & Lucas Moura Anytime Goalscorers

Player Odds at
Bovada
Mohamed Salah +140
Sadio Mane +140
Divock Origi +160
Harry Kane +160
Daniel Sturridge +200
Roberto Firmino +200
Son-Heung-Min +230
Xherdan Shaqiri +240
Fernando Llorente +275
Lucas Moura +290

*For a full list of players click the link in the table

All three top choices for anytime goalscorers come from the Liverpool side of the equation. For a team with 89 EPL goals and two of the three top scorers in England this year in Salah and Mane, that seems warranted.

Fourth choice, Harry Kane is considered most likely to score for Tottenham. Though the Spurs' captain's full availability has some doubt after missing the past six weeks with injury.

There are plenty of solid scoring options across both lineups, though it's still early to know exactly who will be selected in each of Jürgen Klopp's and Mauricio Pochettino's starting XI.

But at over 2-1 odds, I see some intriguing options on the Spurs' side. Heung-Min Son had 12 goals for Tottenham in the Premier League this year, while adding four more during Champions League play.

Lucas Moura was just behind Kane and Son this year with 10 league goals, along with five in the Champions League. Fresh off his hat-trick in the semifinals vs Ajax, surely Pochettino will find a way to get him involved.

Pick 4: Son-Heung Min & Lucas Moura anytime goalscorers

Prop #5: Liverpool to Win & Under 4.5 Goals

Result Odds at Bovada
Liverpool to win in fulltime -110
Liverpool to lift trophy -200
Liverpool to win & Under 2.5 goals +325
Liverpool to win & Under 3.5 goals +165
Liverpool to win & Under 4.5 goals +125

As the odds would show, at -200 to lift the trophy, Liverpool are considerable favorites to win the final on Saturday. While I believe this should be an extremely tight match between two Premier League rivals, I also believe Liverpool should have just a little more and enough to pull out the win.

Both sides progressed through dramatic semifinals to reach this stage. Tottenham staved off a late-season dip in form in league play to remain Top 4 in the EPL. While Liverpool went right down to the wire with Manchester City in an epic title race, seeing them come up just one point behind City.

Liverpool finished with 97 points, scored 89 goals and conceded just 22. They lost just one game all season with a 30-7-1 record. This, compared to Tottenham's 23-2-13 (71 points), and 67 goals scored compared to 39 allowed.

Only one of the previous 12 head-to-head matchups between these sides have seen more than four goals scored combined. Liverpool took both matches this season with 2-1 scorelines. While it's hard to beat a team three times in one season, I also believe it's hard to win the title without tasting some defeat and learning from your past.

Liverpool will be desperate to add some silverware to their cabinet after falling just short in the Premier League. They finished with the most points of any second place EPL team ever.

They were also in this spot last year when they came up 3-1 losers to Real Madrid in the final.

I'll bet on the Reds getting it right this time and grab the plus-money with under 4.5 goals in the match.

Pick 5: Liverpool to win & under 4.5 goals

The post 2019 UEFA Champions League Final Props: Liverpool vs Tottenham appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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