Buffalo Bills vs Pittsburgh Steelers (PIT -1.5, O/U 36.5)
It’s likely to be a defensive battle in Pittsburgh on Sunday night when the Steelers host the Buffalo Bills. Both defenses enter with an elite 4.8 yards per play allowed to opponents (T-3rd) and both are in the top six in scoring defense. The exceptional play on defense has led both teams to second place in their respective divisions, but Buffalo slightly edges out Pittsburgh in the AFC wild-card race, entering 9-4 compared to 8-5 for the Steelers. Vegas agrees this will be a low-scoring battle, listing Pittsburgh as a 1.5-point favorite and the total at an extremely low 36.5 points.
The Linebacker’s NFL model predicts it will be a close game, with a final score projection of 19.2 – 16.6 in favor of the Bills. We have a clear edge on Buffalo in this one, as we predict they’ll win outright against the Steelers as 1.5-point underdogs. Our model suggests an $81 wager on BUFFALO +1.5 for an average $100 bettor.
The Linebacker’s model is 113-61 ATS (64.9%) for +25.98 units and 101-81 (55.5%) on OVER/UNDERs for +21.88 units through 14 weeks of NFL, producing a profit of $4,729. Head over to thelinebacker.com to sign up for a free trial and get access to EVERY NFL Week 15 prediction.
Why will Buffalo cover the spread?
How to bet the total in Bills vs Steelers
The Linebacker projects a final score of 19.2 – 16.6 in favor of the Bills. With 35.8 projected points and an OVER/UNDER of 36.5, we have a slight edge on the UNDER in this matchup. Our model suggests a $17 wager on UNDER 36.5 for an average $100 bettor.